GamePlan Science
vs
Week 13
2026-12-06
Caesars Superdome · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
GB wins 5,900
of 10,000 simulations
NO wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28GBNO

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
GB 55%Tie 3%42% NO
GB most likely
17
NO most likely
10

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

GB+0.123
NO-0.174
league avg -0.53-0.33-0.130.070.270.46 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

GB-0.044
NO+0.056
league avg -0.35-0.21-0.070.070.200.34 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)