Acrisure Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerHOU wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
PIT wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsHOU 47%Tie 3%50% PIT
HOU most likely
17
PIT most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
HOU-0.040
PIT+0.017
Defensive Strength
HOU+0.173
PIT-0.008