Soldier Field · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerJAX wins 4,200
of 10,000 simulations
CHI wins 5,500
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsJAX 45%Tie 3%52% CHI
JAX most likely
17
CHI most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
JAX+0.076
CHI+0.112
Defensive Strength
JAX+0.063
CHI-0.044