GamePlan Science
vs
Week 13
2026-12-03
SoFi Stadium · Thursday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
KC wins 3,000
of 10,000 simulations
LA wins 6,700
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35KCLA

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
KC 35%Tie 3%62% LA
KC most likely
17
LA most likely
24

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

KC+0.025
LA+0.253
league avg -0.32-0.140.050.230.410.59 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

KC+0.027
LA+0.059
league avg -0.28-0.15-0.020.100.230.36 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)