GamePlan Science
vs
Week 13
2026-12-06
Raymond James Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
LAC wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
TB wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28LACTB

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
LAC 49%Tie 3%48% TB
LAC most likely
17
TB most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

LAC+0.010
TB-0.047
league avg -0.38-0.24-0.090.050.200.35 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

LAC+0.084
TB-0.021
league avg -0.31-0.17-0.030.110.240.38 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)