GamePlan Science
vs
Week 13
2026-12-06
Empower Field at Mile High · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
MIA wins 3,000
of 10,000 simulations
DEN wins 6,800
of 10,000 simulations
2 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35MIADEN

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
MIA 33%Tie 3%64% DEN
MIA most likely
17
DEN most likely
24

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

MIA-0.082
DEN-0.017
league avg -0.42-0.27-0.130.020.170.32 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

MIA-0.063
DEN+0.126
league avg -0.36-0.21-0.050.100.250.41 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)