State Farm Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerPHI wins 5,900
of 10,000 simulations
ARI wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsPHI 55%Tie 3%42% ARI
PHI most likely
17
ARI most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
PHI-0.038
ARI-0.066
Defensive Strength
PHI+0.143
ARI-0.104