GamePlan Science
vs
Week 13
2026-12-06
MetLife Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
SF wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
NYG wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28SFNYG

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
SF 48%Tie 3%49% NYG
SF most likely
17
NYG most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

SF+0.144
NYG+0.032
league avg -0.31-0.160.000.160.320.48 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

SF-0.040
NYG-0.058
league avg -0.35-0.23-0.110.010.130.25 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)