GamePlan Science
vs
Week 14
2026-12-13
Lambeau Field · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
BUF wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
GB wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28BUFGB

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
BUF 45%Tie 3%52% GB
BUF most likely
17
GB most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

BUF+0.215
GB+0.123
league avg -0.22-0.060.090.250.400.55 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

BUF-0.029
GB-0.044
league avg -0.35-0.22-0.100.030.150.27 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)