GamePlan Science
vs
Week 14
2026-12-13
Hard Rock Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
CHI wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
MIA wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28CHIMIA

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
CHI 52%Tie 3%45% MIA
CHI most likely
17
MIA most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

CHI+0.112
MIA-0.082
league avg -0.42-0.25-0.080.090.260.43 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

CHI-0.044
MIA-0.063
league avg -0.36-0.24-0.120.000.120.24 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)