MetLife Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerDEN wins 6,700
of 10,000 simulations
NYJ wins 3,000
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsDEN 64%Tie 3%33% NYJ
DEN most likely
17
NYJ most likely
10
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
DEN-0.017
NYJ-0.255
Defensive Strength
DEN+0.126
NYJ-0.157