GamePlan Science
vs
Week 14
2026-12-13
Northwest Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
HOU wins 6,100
of 10,000 simulations
WAS wins 3,600
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35HOUWAS

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
HOU 56%Tie 3%41% WAS
HOU most likely
17
WAS most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

HOU-0.040
WAS-0.013
league avg -0.36-0.22-0.090.050.190.33 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

HOU+0.173
WAS-0.157
league avg -0.45-0.26-0.080.100.290.47 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)