GamePlan Science
vs
Week 14
2026-12-13
Lincoln Financial Field · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
IND wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
PHI wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28INDPHI

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
IND 46%Tie 3%50% PHI
IND most likely
17
PHI most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

IND+0.241
PHI-0.038
league avg -0.37-0.190.000.190.380.57 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

IND-0.040
PHI+0.143
league avg -0.33-0.18-0.020.130.290.44 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)