Allegiant Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerLAC wins 6,200
of 10,000 simulations
LV wins 3,500
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsLAC 59%Tie 3%37% LV
LAC most likely
17
LV most likely
10
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
LAC+0.010
LV-0.295
Defensive Strength
LAC+0.084
LV-0.019