Gillette Stadium · Thursday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerMIN wins 3,500
of 10,000 simulations
NE wins 6,200
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsMIN 37%Tie 3%60% NE
MIN most likely
17
NE most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
MIN-0.125
NE+0.182
Defensive Strength
MIN+0.171
NE+0.032