EverBank Stadium · Monday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerPIT wins 3,300
of 10,000 simulations
JAX wins 6,400
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsPIT 38%Tie 3%60% JAX
PIT most likely
17
JAX most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
PIT+0.017
JAX+0.076
Defensive Strength
PIT-0.008
JAX+0.063