M&T Bank Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerTB wins 3,000
of 10,000 simulations
BAL wins 6,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsTB 37%Tie 3%60% BAL
TB most likely
17
BAL most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
TB-0.047
BAL+0.062
Defensive Strength
TB-0.021
BAL-0.029