Ford Field · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerTEN wins 2,700
of 10,000 simulations
DET wins 7,000
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsTEN 28%Tie 3%69% DET
TEN most likely
10
DET most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
TEN-0.229
DET+0.124
Defensive Strength
TEN-0.091
DET+0.002