Acrisure Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerBAL wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
PIT wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsBAL 42%Tie 3%54% PIT
BAL most likely
17
PIT most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
BAL+0.062
PIT+0.017
Defensive Strength
BAL-0.029
PIT-0.008