Highmark Stadium · Saturday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerCHI wins 3,600
of 10,000 simulations
BUF wins 6,100
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsCHI 37%Tie 3%60% BUF
CHI most likely
17
BUF most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
CHI+0.112
BUF+0.215
Defensive Strength
CHI-0.044
BUF-0.029