GamePlan Science
vs
Week 15
2026-12-20
Bank of America Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
CIN wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
CAR wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28CINCAR

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
CIN 47%Tie 3%50% CAR
CIN most likely
17
CAR most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

CIN+0.032
CAR-0.112
league avg -0.47-0.30-0.130.040.210.37 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

CIN-0.128
CAR-0.084
league avg -0.43-0.30-0.17-0.040.080.21 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)