GamePlan Science
vs
Week 15
2026-12-20
MetLife Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
CLE wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
NYG wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28CLENYG

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
CLE 36%Tie 3%60% NYG
CLE most likely
10
NYG most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

CLE-0.342
NYG+0.032
league avg -0.69-0.48-0.26-0.050.160.38 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

CLE+0.154
NYG-0.058
league avg -0.35-0.19-0.030.130.290.45 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)