Allegiant Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerDEN wins 6,200
of 10,000 simulations
LV wins 3,500
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsDEN 60%Tie 3%37% LV
DEN most likely
17
LV most likely
10
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
DEN-0.017
LV-0.295
Defensive Strength
DEN+0.126
LV-0.019