GamePlan Science
vs
Week 15
2026-12-20
U.S. Bank Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
DET wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
MIN wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28DETMIN

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
DET 46%Tie 3%51% MIN
DET most likely
17
MIN most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

DET+0.124
MIN-0.125
league avg -0.47-0.28-0.090.090.280.47 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

DET+0.002
MIN+0.171
league avg -0.29-0.140.010.160.320.47 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)