Nissan Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerIND wins 7,000
of 10,000 simulations
TEN wins 2,700
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsIND 65%Tie 3%32% TEN
IND most likely
24
TEN most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
IND+0.241
TEN-0.229
Defensive Strength
IND-0.040
TEN-0.091