Reliant Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerJAX wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
HOU wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsJAX 45%Tie 3%51% HOU
JAX most likely
17
HOU most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
JAX+0.076
HOU-0.040
Defensive Strength
JAX+0.063
HOU+0.173