GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · Monday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerNE wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
KC wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsNE 48%Tie 3%49% KC
NE most likely
17
KC most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
NE+0.182
KC+0.025
Defensive Strength
NE+0.032
KC+0.027