Raymond James Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerNO wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
TB wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsNO 42%Tie 3%55% TB
NO most likely
17
TB most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
NO-0.174
TB-0.047
Defensive Strength
NO+0.056
TB-0.021