State Farm Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerNYJ wins 3,200
of 10,000 simulations
ARI wins 6,500
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsNYJ 35%Tie 3%61% ARI
NYJ most likely
17
ARI most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
NYJ-0.255
ARI-0.066
Defensive Strength
NYJ-0.157
ARI-0.104