GamePlan Science
vs
Week 15
2026-12-17
SoFi Stadium · Thursday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
SF wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
LAC wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28SFLAC

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
SF 45%Tie 3%51% LAC
SF most likely
17
LAC most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

SF+0.144
LAC+0.010
league avg -0.33-0.16-0.000.160.320.48 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

SF-0.040
LAC+0.084
league avg -0.33-0.19-0.050.100.240.38 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)