Caesars Superdome · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerARI wins 4,200
of 10,000 simulations
NO wins 5,500
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsARI 44%Tie 3%53% NO
ARI most likely
17
NO most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
ARI-0.066
NO-0.174
Defensive Strength
ARI-0.104
NO+0.056