GamePlan Science
vs
Week 16
2026-12-25
Empower Field at Mile High · Friday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
BUF wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
DEN wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28BUFDEN

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
BUF 47%Tie 3%50% DEN
BUF most likely
17
DEN most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

BUF+0.215
DEN-0.017
league avg -0.35-0.170.010.190.370.55 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

BUF-0.029
DEN+0.126
league avg -0.33-0.18-0.040.110.260.41 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)