Acrisure Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerCAR wins 3,200
of 10,000 simulations
PIT wins 6,500
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsCAR 35%Tie 3%62% PIT
CAR most likely
10
PIT most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
CAR-0.112
PIT+0.017
Defensive Strength
CAR-0.084
PIT-0.008