Lucas Oil Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerCIN wins 3,000
of 10,000 simulations
IND wins 6,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsCIN 32%Tie 3%65% IND
CIN most likely
17
IND most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
CIN+0.032
IND+0.241
Defensive Strength
CIN-0.128
IND-0.040