GamePlan Science
vs
Week 16
2026-12-27
M&T Bank Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
CLE wins 3,200
of 10,000 simulations
BAL wins 6,500
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35CLEBAL

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
CLE 33%Tie 3%64% BAL
CLE most likely
10
BAL most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

CLE-0.342
BAL+0.062
league avg -0.69-0.47-0.26-0.040.180.40 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

CLE+0.154
BAL-0.029
league avg -0.32-0.17-0.020.140.290.45 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)