GamePlan Science
vs
Week 16
2026-12-25
Soldier Field · Friday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
GB wins 3,900
of 10,000 simulations
CHI wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35GBCHI

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
GB 42%Tie 3%55% CHI
GB most likely
17
CHI most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

GB+0.123
CHI+0.112
league avg -0.22-0.080.060.190.330.46 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

GB-0.044
CHI-0.044
league avg -0.35-0.23-0.100.020.140.26 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)