GamePlan Science
vs
Week 16
2026-12-24
Lincoln Financial Field · Thursday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
HOU wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
PHI wins 5,900
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28HOUPHI

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
HOU 43%Tie 3%53% PHI
HOU most likely
17
PHI most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

HOU-0.040
PHI-0.038
league avg -0.37-0.24-0.110.030.160.30 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

HOU+0.173
PHI+0.143
league avg -0.15-0.030.100.220.340.47 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)