AT&T Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerJAX wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
DAL wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsJAX 54%Tie 2%44% DAL
JAX most likely
24
DAL most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
JAX+0.076
DAL+0.196
Defensive Strength
JAX+0.063
DAL-0.211