GamePlan Science
vs
Week 16
2026-12-27
Hard Rock Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
LAC wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
MIA wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28LACMIA

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
LAC 52%Tie 3%45% MIA
LAC most likely
17
MIA most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

LAC+0.010
MIA-0.082
league avg -0.42-0.27-0.120.040.190.35 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

LAC+0.084
MIA-0.063
league avg -0.36-0.21-0.060.080.230.38 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)