GamePlan Science
vs
Week 16
2026-12-25
Lumen Field · Friday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
LA wins 3,900
of 10,000 simulations
SEA wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35LASEA

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
LA 42%Tie 3%55% SEA
LA most likely
17
SEA most likely
24

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

LA+0.253
SEA+0.087
league avg -0.24-0.070.100.260.430.59 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

LA+0.059
SEA+0.231
league avg -0.24-0.090.070.220.380.53 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)