MetLife Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerNE wins 7,000
of 10,000 simulations
NYJ wins 2,700
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsNE 68%Tie 3%29% NYJ
NE most likely
24
NYJ most likely
10
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
NE+0.182
NYJ-0.255
Defensive Strength
NE+0.032
NYJ-0.157