GamePlan Science
vs
Week 16
2026-12-28
Ford Field · Monday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
NYG wins 3,600
of 10,000 simulations
DET wins 6,100
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35NYGDET

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
NYG 38%Tie 3%59% DET
NYG most likely
17
DET most likely
24

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

NYG+0.032
DET+0.124
league avg -0.31-0.16-0.000.150.310.47 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

NYG-0.058
DET+0.002
league avg -0.35-0.22-0.090.040.160.29 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)