GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerSF wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
KC wins 5,900
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsSF 44%Tie 3%53% KC
SF most likely
17
KC most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
SF+0.144
KC+0.025
Defensive Strength
SF-0.040
KC+0.027