Allegiant Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerTEN wins 4,100
of 10,000 simulations
LV wins 5,500
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsTEN 44%Tie 3%53% LV
TEN most likely
17
LV most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
TEN-0.229
LV-0.295
Defensive Strength
TEN-0.091
LV-0.019