GamePlan Science
vs
Week 16
2026-12-27
U.S. Bank Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
WAS wins 3,200
of 10,000 simulations
MIN wins 6,500
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35WASMIN

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
WAS 35%Tie 3%62% MIN
WAS most likely
10
MIN most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

WAS-0.013
MIN-0.125
league avg -0.47-0.31-0.150.010.170.33 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

WAS-0.157
MIN+0.171
league avg -0.45-0.26-0.080.100.280.47 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)