Paycor Stadium · Thursday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerBAL wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
CIN wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsBAL 51%Tie 3%46% CIN
BAL most likely
17
CIN most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
BAL+0.062
CIN+0.032
Defensive Strength
BAL-0.029
CIN-0.128