GamePlan Science
vs
Week 17
2027-01-03
Hard Rock Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
BUF wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
MIA wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28BUFMIA

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
BUF 56%Tie 3%41% MIA
BUF most likely
17
MIA most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

BUF+0.215
MIA-0.082
league avg -0.42-0.23-0.030.160.360.55 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

BUF-0.029
MIA-0.063
league avg -0.36-0.23-0.110.020.150.27 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)