Gillette Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerDEN wins 3,900
of 10,000 simulations
NE wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsDEN 38%Tie 3%59% NE
DEN most likely
17
NE most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
DEN-0.017
NE+0.182
Defensive Strength
DEN+0.126
NE+0.032