GamePlan Science
vs
Week 17
2027-01-03
Soldier Field · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
DET wins 4,200
of 10,000 simulations
CHI wins 5,500
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35DETCHI

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
DET 44%Tie 3%53% CHI
DET most likely
17
CHI most likely
24

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

DET+0.124
CHI+0.112
league avg -0.22-0.080.060.190.330.47 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

DET+0.002
CHI-0.044
league avg -0.33-0.21-0.080.040.170.29 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)