GamePlan Science
vs
Week 17
2027-01-04
Lambeau Field · Monday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
HOU wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
GB wins 5,900
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28HOUGB

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
HOU 42%Tie 3%55% GB
HOU most likely
17
GB most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

HOU-0.040
GB+0.123
league avg -0.36-0.20-0.030.130.300.46 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

HOU+0.173
GB-0.044
league avg -0.35-0.18-0.020.140.310.47 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)